Предсказание сбылось

[ny_quant]

Пару лет назад, обсуждая с misha_b сравнительные достоинства и недостатки электрических машин, я сделал следующее предсказание:

Если они покроют всю страну достаточно густой сетью суперчарджеров (интересно, во сколько это им обойдется?), то может кто-то и согласится так путешествовать, но точно не я. Да и представьте себе картину маслом: вы приезжате на зарядку, а там очередь ... Прикиньте очереди на 4 июля или labor day... Если 3 часа едешь, 30 минут заряжаешь это единственный вариант передвижения, то его можно заодно считать и приемлемым, особенно если ехать надо обязательно. Но кто и зачем может пойти на такое "удобство" добровольно я себе и представить не могу. Разве что люди полностью помешанные на СО2.

Ну и вот

Ролик via aka_human а у него ещё от кого-то.

Comments

[misha-b.livejournal.com]

This is not the case, at least not for Tesla in the US. You simply go and the software tells you where to charge -- there is a supercharger on major highways every 50-100miles.

[nefedor.livejournal.com]

And on any major “traffic day” like Thanksgiving or Easter all of them will have lines.

[misha-b.livejournal.com]

Is there any evidence of that? I have personally never seen a line at a supercharger.

In any case, it should not be too difficult/expensive to address this, Tesla already has mobile charging stations for high traffic areas: https://thedriven.io/2019/12/02/tesla-deploys-mobile-ev-superchargers-powered-by-new-megapack-battery/

[nefedor.livejournal.com]

I think you’d agree that anyone’s personal “I haven’t seen” is a weak argument in this matter.
And isn’t it a piece of evidence we have just seen by the link in the top post?

[misha-b.livejournal.com]

About as strong as "I haven't seen" :)
We need something a little more systematic than one long line.

[nefedor.livejournal.com]

Not quite: after watching this video you have seen it too so you can’t really clame you haven’t seen it ;)

Yes, I’d agree that if we consider the matter scientifically we’d need more evidence. But I’d guess we are having much more relaxed discussions here.

[misha-b.livejournal.com]

Still, we should be careful of jumping to conclusions based on a few reports. Anything related to Tesla generates so much publicity that it is hard to judge whether this is wide-spread or just a problem with one location.

I think these overloads are somewhat predictable and should not be too difficult to address. The key is the trajectory, especially with the increasing number of EV's -- hopefully Tesla/ other EV companies will address these issues sooner rather than late.