О пользе потепления

[ny_quant]

𝗖𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝗸𝗶𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗵𝗲𝗮𝘁
Each year, heat kills half a million people
but cold kills 4.5 million people — 𝟵𝘅 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲
Yet, most reporting focus on heat deaths, because it fits the climate narrativehttps://t.co/TyTlwkZ1Xzhttps://t.co/IiL4VdDriK pic.twitter.com/pIBmiah161

— Bjorn Lomborg (@BjornLomborg) December 15, 2022

Comments

[ammosov.livejournal.com]

Надо в динамике смотреть: как эти числа меняются если не с изменением температуры, так хотя б по годам. И как меняется дельта.

[ny-quant.livejournal.com]

И не забыть убрать тренд из-за роста населения.

[ammosov.livejournal.com]

нашел.

Figure 4 shows the temporal change in excess death ratio by region, in comparison to the 2000–03 average. From 2000–03 to 2016–19, the cold-related excess death ratio declined in most regions, except for Northern Europe and Southern Asia (figure 4). The greatest decline in the cold-related excess death ratio occurred in South-eastern Asia and other regions in Oceania. The heat-related excess death ratio increased in most regions from 2000–03 to 2016–19, especially in Europe and Oceania (figure 4). However, the changing rates of cold-related and heat-related excess death ratios resulted in different net temperature-related burdens by 2016–19 in each region. The net ratio declined substantially in Africa, Oceania, and South-eastern Asia, but increased in Southern Asia and Europe in a fluctuating pattern.

https://www.thelancet.com/cms/attachment/7b5c7127-5fe7-4ada-9e4d-9ef1d4ee9e8c/gr4.jpg