Оказывается, Берни все в точности предсказал

[ny_quant]

"Democrats are more likely to use mail-in ballots, Republicans are more likely to walk into polling booths on Election Day. It is likely that the first votes that will be counted will be those people who came in on Election Day.

"It could well be [...] that at 10 o'clock on election night, Trump is winning in Michigan, he's winning in Pennsylvania, he's winning in Wisconsin and he gets on the television and he says: 'Thank you, Americans, for re-electing me. It's all over. Have a good day.'

"But then the next day, and the day following, all of those mail-in ballots start getting counted and it turns out that Biden has won those states. At which point Trump says: 'See? I told you the whole thing was fraudulent. I told you those mail-in ballots were crooked. And, you know, we're not going to leave office.'"

https://www.newsweek.com/bernie-sanders-election-prediction-viral-1544713

Comments

[ny-quant.livejournal.com]

It's not over until it's over.

[just-one-of.livejournal.com]

Это да.

Но речь то не об этом.

Берни в данном случае, если очень мягко выразиться, крайне упрощает.

Например Техас.
Из дем. центральных утюгов(включая даже день выборов) звучало, что он уже swing state.

Трамп победил с разрывом 6.9%.

При этом :
To be eligible to vote early by mail in Texas, you must:
- be 65 years or older;
- be sick or disabled;
- be out of the county on election day and during the period for early voting by personal appearance; or
- be confined in jail, but otherwise eligible.

При этом:
Персонально с предъявлением ID
60% of Texas likely voters said they plan to vote early in-person this year, according to a University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll.

По факту до Election Day:
At least 9.7 million Texans — 57% of registered voters — voted early

[bad-cmpany.livejournal.com]

И чо?