Damn lies and statistics

[ny_quant]

Estimates by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia indicate that the employment changes from March through June 2022 ... incorporate more comprehensive, accurate job estimates released by the BLS ... In the aggregate, 10,500 net new jobs were added during the period rather than the 1,121,500 jobs estimated by the sum of the states; the U.S. CES estimated net growth of 1,047,000 jobs for the period. (pdf)

Иными словами, официальная статистика ошиблась более чем в 100 раз. На более длинных интервалах данные поменялись не столь сильно.

Over the cumulative three-quarter period ending with this 2022 Q2 vintage — which includes additional QCEW [Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages] data changes affecting the prior two quarters — payroll jobs in the nation grew 3.5 percent: Less than the 4.1 percent growth based on the sum of the states.

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а, понятно, спасибо