Date: 2020-04-28 09:59 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] misha-b.livejournal.com
I think your numbers are a bit off -- flu deaths in 2017/2018 season were about 61000 (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden-averted/2017-2018.htm#table1).

74000 for the whole year sounds absurd. We are at slightly under 2000/day right now, so we will be there in less than 10 days at the current rate.

Date: 2020-04-28 10:00 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ny-quant.livejournal.com
These are not *my* numbers and this is not my forecast either.
Edited Date: 2020-04-28 10:02 pm (UTC)

Date: 2020-04-28 10:03 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] misha-b.livejournal.com
> что меньше чем смертность от гриппа в 2018.

You said that, no?

Date: 2020-04-28 10:12 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ny-quant.livejournal.com
Раньше они говорили, что 80,000:

https://www.statnews.com/2018/09/26/cdc-us-flu-deaths-winter/

Date: 2020-04-28 10:20 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] misha-b.livejournal.com
I see. I guess they revised the numbers down.

Date: 2020-04-29 12:20 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kodak2004.livejournal.com
95% UI 46,404-94,987

80 тысяч укладываются в него и сейчас.

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