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[personal profile] ny_quant
Переговоры провалились, Трамп объявил о блокаде того, что еще не заблокировал Иран. Рынок невозмутимо ждет понятно чего.

Одно из предсказаний будущего:

When the dust clears, Iran is likely to retain the potential for some sort of nuclear program, but the United States should be able to gain some restrictions on it. (Whether those restrictions will be more or less than the ones contained in the nuclear deal from which the United States withdrew in 2018 remains to be seen.) Some sanctions on Iran will be lifted; others may continue. The passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz is likely to be restored, but on new terms that will probably advantage Iran.

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/why-ceasefire-iran-will-hold-trump-negotiations

Date: 2026-04-13 06:21 pm (UTC)
From: [personal profile] k_uao
Ну это же оптимистичное будущее — «будет примерно как было, только немного хуже». По нынешним временам — очень оптимистично.

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